Partial Poker Success Redux -Three of a Kind in Danger

In the last poker chapter, we talked about what kind of shape you would be in if you flopped hands like three of a kind, two pair, etc. What we’ll do now is step you through what you’re up against if some of the “danger” from a danger flop is realized!

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Three of a Kind in Danger

You’ll recall from last week’s episode that you held 99, and you got the flop shown here:

poker card 10 heart You’re starting strong, but how will you finish?

Looking good, but there are lots of ways to become an underdog in a hurry. Worst-case scenario first: If the turn brings in the 7 or the Q, you are now in a lot of trouble. Table 10.3 shows what kind of shape you’re in if you need to make a full house against a flush.

Hold ’Em Hand Results

Hand Percentage of Money Won
Flop (8-9-T) Turn (7)
9-9 56.1% 21.5%
A-4 26.8% 78.5%
J-T 17.1% 0.0%

The straight is now drawing dead. The good news for you is that any Seven, Eight, Nine, or Ten gives you a winning full house. This totals nine outs, a 4.1:1 shot (it would be 10 outs, but the J is dead). The odds are the same against a made straight, as only a full house wins you the pot. Check and call.

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