Testing Hutchison’s Poker Point Count System

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Because the Hutchison system determines a hand’s approximate winning percentage if every player stayed through the river, we can test its accuracy in Wilson Software’s Turbo Omaha High. We decided to start at the top, with A♠-A♣-K♠-K (“Ace, King double-suited”). The Hutchison system assigns this hand points in the following manner:

4 points for the Ace-high flush draw in spades

4 points for the Ace-high flush draw in clubs

9 points for the pair of Aces 8 points for the pair of Kings

4 points for the two pairs within two ranks of each other

–2 points for the Aces

The total is 27 points. How does the predicted worth correlate to the actual performance of the hand against nine opponents who never fold?

The results of a 100,000 hand simulation in Wilson Software’s Turbo Omaha High the test hand won 26,736.67 out of 100,000 pots, which is near enough to the predicted 27 percent win rate ( you need to know that the player with the test hand is in seat 10).

Scoring Practice for Omaha High Hands

Here are five Omaha hands for you to score using the Hutchison system. You’ll find the answers below the final hand.

A♠-A♦-J♠-4
K♥-Q♥-J♠-8
T-T♠-7♥-7
9♥-8♦-7♠-6
5♥-5♠-4♥-4

You should assign the following scores to the sample hands:

A♠-A♦-J♠-4 receives 4 points for the Ace-high flush draw in spades, 9 points for the pair of Aces, and 4 points for the straight cards (not all cards are an Eight or above), for a total of 17 points. There is only a two-rank gap between an Ace and a Four, so you don’t subtract a point.

K♥-Q♥-J♠-8 receives 3 points for the King-high flush draw in hearts, no points for pairs, and 11 points for an Eight-low hand with four cards of different ranks, for a total of 14 points.

T-T♠-7♥-7 receives 1.5 points for the Ten-high flush draw in spades, 6 points for the pair of Tens, 4 points for the pair of Sevens, and 2 points for the straight possibilities, but –2 points because there is a gap of more than one rank between the pairs, for a total of 11.5 points.

9♥-8♦-7♠-6 receives no points for flush draws or pairs, but it does receive 9 points for the Six-low hand with four cards of different ranks, for a total of 9 points.

5♥-5♠-4♥-4 receives 1 point for the Five-high flush draw in hearts, 1 point for the Five-high flush draw in spades, 4 points for the pair of Fives, 4 points for the pair of Fours, and 2 points for the straight possibilities, for a total of 12 points.

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